Wednesday 18 April 2007

MAXIMIZING DISTRIBUTION


by Peter Broderick

(First appeared in DGA Magazine, January 2004)

Link to further articles by Peter Broderick using the link

Today it is even harder to bring an independent movie into the world successfully than it is to make one. The traditional system for distributing independent films is in critical condition. But as old distribution paths have become more treacherous, promising new ones are opening up. The challenge for every independent is to understand the current distribution crisis, assess older and newer options and design approaches that will maximize their chances of reaching the widest possible audience.

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Rethinking Film Distribution


Distribution consultant Peter Broderick says filmmakers should consider new strategies for distributing their films to avoid future disappointment.

By Rebort



With Serenity we got the first nine-minutes of the film in a high-res, full-screen, video stream. How long before we get a stream of the whole film?
With Serenity we got the first nine-minutes of the film in a high-res, full-screen, video stream. How long before we get a stream of the whole film?

This is the last in a series of articles that came out of the Vancouver International Film Festival Trade Forum that ended last month. Peter Broderick President of Paradigm Consulting was speaking at the closing day of the festival - the New Filmmaker's Day - about alternative distribution channels and we spoke subsequently by phone.

Peter Broderick has long been a champion of the independent filmmaker. I first heard him giving a presentation on making micro-budget films at the Edinburgh International Film Festival six years ago.

At the time, the dot com boom was at its most heated and speculation was rife about how the web would revolutionise the movie world. It was impossible to get tickets to see the festival screening of the hyped-as-hell Blair Witch Project (iofilm's reviewer, Johnny Bravo, had to hide out in the cinema to see it). iofilm was streaming video interviews from the EIFF including iofilm chief film critic The Wolf's interview with Terry Gilliam, and other fest guests. The clips, made for people with 56k modems, were in tiny windows and jerky, but we were cutting edge (at least, we thought so).

In his presentation, Broderick wowed the audience with some film clips that had originally been shot on videotape and "blown up" to film. Sure, some of the footage had a familiar murky, DV look, but other footage that had been more carefully shot was stunningly good. While there was industry resistance to his ideas, his message that you can make an ultra-low-budget film on DV was exactly the kind of thing that budding filmmakers wanted to hear, and no doubt, inspired many to go off and do just that.

Broderick admits that many people "thought I was mad then." Digital transfers were still at the pioneer stage, even if Danish, experimental Dogma was making waves with lean, no-frills features like Idiots (1998) and Festen (1998). Fast-forward to March of this year. A decade since Lars von Trier and Thomas Vinterberg penned their Dogma manifesto, the Vow of Chastity, and you can see how far we've come: DV filmmaking is mainstream, digital projection in theatres is common, and now that broadband is ubiquitous, streaming video is finally beginning to take off.

Peter Broderick also now has a new message, that it's time filmmakers took more control of the distribution of their films.

"The old distribution model is broken"

Broderick, still apprehensive after his ideas came under attack at the Montreal film festival, prefaced his new presentation at VIFF Trade Forum with a disclaimer saying that his criticisms on the distribution system don't apply to all films.

Also, countries that have government support for indigenous film, like the U.K. or Canada, have evolved different distribution models than U.S. independents.

However, as he got into his stride it was evident that his central point was a universal one - namely that filmmakers should try to retain as many rights to their own work as they can.

Broderick, who says he has consulted with around 100 filmmakers over the last three years, painted the "traditional distribution model" in dark terms. Filmmakers are either finding themselves blocked out from conventional distribution channels by a small number of gatekeepers or stuck in lousy distribution deals where they see little to no returns.

Broderick pointed out the anomaly in the traditional distribution model where the independent filmmaker takes all the risk, does all the work and has "100% control" while making the film, then hands the film over to a distributor, after which the filmmaker sees 10% of the revenue from the film "if you are lucky."

Broderick said that not only does the filmmaker lose control over the film, but, perhaps even more importantly, he or she can do nothing if, as often happens, the distributor loses faith in the film. The filmmaker, having handed over the rights to his or her work, can only watch helplessly as it collects dust in the distributor's film library.

"However bad you think independent distribution is, it's worse. It's not a crisis. The conventional model is broken," said Broderick. "If you asked how many filmmakers are happy with their distribution deals, 2% would be a big number."

Consider the distribution strategy

Opening a film theatrically is an expensive business, with films often losing money at the box office. The theatrical release is seen as an essential part of the distribution strategy because it generates awareness for a film, which hopefully translates into DVD sales further down the road.

Deals vary, but in a "standard distribution deal" once theatre-owners have taken their slice, say, 50% of box office gross, the distributor has taken his fee, typically 35% of gross, and the distributor has recouped the cost of prints and advertising (P&A), the filmmaker can easily be in debt. It can take some time for ancillary revenues, in particular, from the big revenue-maker DVD sales, to get the filmmaker into the black.

Broderick says that some filmmakers are responding to this situation by getting more proactive in their distribution strategy. Rather than aim for a conventional distribution deal whatever the terms, producers are focussing on distribution strategies that maximise their opportunities to earn revenue from their film - and that usually means hanging on to as many rights as possible, and getting into a position where they can negotiate from a more favourable position.

Service Deal: a better deal

Wealthier producers are showing that service deals are an effective distribution strategy. In a service deal, the filmmaker fronts the bill for prints and advertising costs (P&A) and hires a company to provide distribution services, from promoting the film to collecting revenues from exhibitors. The filmmaker is in effect renting the distribution system for theatrical releases, but pays less for the distribution fee (around 10%-25% of gross, rather than the classic 35% of gross). The producer is risking his or her own money, but retains control over the film and continues to have final say in the promotion and costs. Broderick rattled off a list of films that had been service deals, some which may ring a bell: Fahrenheit 9/11, Monster, and My Big Fat Greek Wedding.

The latter, a $5 million, ethnic comedy with no big-name stars, grossed over $241 million at the U.S. box office. The advertising budget was around $1million and the distributors, IFC Films, were paid a flat fee of $300,000. Even the reported 7-figure sum they negotiated as bonus payments with the film's producers after it became a tearaway success would be dwarfed if they had entered into a conventional distribution deal.

Broderick says that where the cost of a service deal ($50,000 upwards) is prohibitive, filmmakers are using theatre bookers. "A fair amount...aren't so much service deals as people have hired a theatre booker who has relationships with theatre owners to help them put the movies in theatres," he says.

Booking cinemas yourself

Another option is four-walling, where the filmmakers take on the risk of a film doing well at the box office by renting a theatre and showing their film. If the producer is going the theatrical self-distribution route, Broderick suggests looking for a theatre that can screen a film for critics, has a mailing list or some way of reaching their audience, and a theatre with "some kind of prestige for getting into that theatre." Whether the producer is renting out cinemas or brokering revenue-share deals with cinema owners, self-distribution is a slog that few filmmakers relish, but it's not impossible to make a go of it.

Broderick cites What the Bleep Do We Know as a rare success story. "The Bleep" as it became affectionately known, created great grass roots buzz in a small town in Washington, played the Baghdad Theater in Portland for a record 19 weeks, before the producers made a deal with Samuel Goldwyn and Roadside Attractions, the distribution team behind Super Size Me.

More options

"Even if you have no theatrical or even if you had a failed theatrical that doesn't mean that the film wouldn't work on television and that you couldn't have a DVD strategy that was effective. I think of theatrical as something that is nice to have, but it's not essential. In the old model, the traditional model, theatrical is essential..." says Broderick.

"I don't recommend that filmmakers go it alone and try and reinvent the wheel. But I also don't recommend that they just blindly go into making overall deals assuming that all their problems will be solved by this one company, whatever it may be," says Broderick.

"The filmmakers that are doing the best are the ones that have chosen some kind of hybrid strategy... It could be a television deal, either domestic or foreign, a retail deal, or working with an established educational distributor."

Internet distribution and marketing

New technology continues to offer unprecedented distribution opportunities. Much-improved DVD projection, giant plasma screens, and surround-sound home entertainment systems are allowing filmmakers to bring the cinematic experience into other public and private places. You don't need a cinema to show your film to a crowd. You just need a large, quiet space, with protection from the elements, and an electricity supply.

Blair Witch may have been a one-off, but filmmakers are using the internet both as an effective grass roots marketing tool and for making direct distribution a possibility. Robert Greenwald's (Outfoxed, Uncovered) latest project, Walmart: The High Cost of Low Price, which I wrote about last week and which is moving into gear this week, is a high profile example of how documentary filmmakers are tooling up online. Greenwald's film is premiering at thousands of community screenings and house parties, all screened off DVD. The expectation is that he will capitalise on DVD sales of the film as word-of-mouth spreads among his core audience and people buy the film as gifts for friends or for educational uses.

Like theatrical releases, house parties are about creating word-of-mouth, and filmmakers don't expect to make a killing at the "box office".

Greenwald, for example, is just charging for the price of the DVD that will be used to project the film (organisers of screenings can charge as little or as much as they like).

"The first priority is establishing awareness and hoping that that will result in good things subsequently," says Broderick.

"It couldn't happen here"

Broderick also cautions against thinking that direct distribution using the internet is a uniquely U.S. phenomenon.

"It's a mistake - and this is one of the things I ran into in Australia - people would say that, 'The examples you give are fine for the U.S., but it's a big market, and we're a small country.' And my response was in terms of internet sales you've got to think bigger. You've got to obviously work your home market as effectively as you can, but then you have to figure out ways to reach people in other countries."

Broderick doesn't suggest that filmmakers try and do everything themselves literally. He suggests building a team for the online presence, and contracting a fulfillment house "to fulfill to the world."

With bulk printing of DVDs (including postage and packaging) now costing less than a pound, the filmmaker who has retained rights to their film can benefit from a nice mark-up per unit sale. There are a few technical issues to bear in mind, like what region to print the DVDs in (Broderick suggests a universal region 0) and whether you should go NTSC or PAL, but these are not insurmountable.

"You don't have to sell a lot of DVDs to break even on lower budget movies. If filmmakers can figure out a way to sell ten or fifteen thousand DVDs over time, over the world, that can be enough to get them into the black. Once they've got those names and email addresses they can take that to other projects," says Broderick.

And next?

DVDs wont be around for ever. Digital downloads are becoming more common. Broderick points out that the first nine minutes of the feature film Serenity went online for free for a limited period. The film was full-screen and played within a minute of clicking the play button. "It's the best quality streamed video I've seen," he says.

Broderick sees some films even being cast on mobile media, like the video iPod in the "not-too-distant-future." It's difficult to envisage people watching films on their tiny handheld screens, but Broderick is adamant: "People are saying it's just television. They're so wrong. This is just the beginning..."


Link to http://www.iofilm.co.uk

Wednesday 11 April 2007

Tuesday 10 April 2007

Consider Revenue Models for Mobile TV Carefully




Posted on the CHARGED website by Darren Francis
Thursday, 29 March 2007

Mobile TV has the potential to generate much needed data revenue but only if operators can attract sufficient subscribers to interest advertisers.


As voice revenues continue to decline, operators saddled with expensive 3G licenses are looking for any opportunity to increase revenue from data services. Gartner predicts that Mobile TV is one such opportunity and will become a mainstream service in most developed markets by 2010 with close to half a billion subscribers worldwide. The marketplace for mobile TV will vary widely by country and will be shared between TV services that are delivered via cellular and broadcast methods. TV services over cellular will grow from 38 million users in 2007 to 356 million in 2010.

� TV broadcasting will reach 133 million subscribers by 2010 - due in the main to the growing availability of broadcast-enabled phones* - with Japan as the region leading the way followed by Western Europe.�

However, attracting and maintaining a healthy installed base of mobile TV subscribers will be far from straight forward. To-date consumers have, in general, remained ambivalent about watching TV on the move and although the uptake of mobile TV services will grow at a considerable rate over the next few years, most subscribers will receive mobile TV as part of their mobile subscription. “Uptake will not be driven by consumer demand so much as by operators including TV in basic bundles as a default service so that it appears ‘free’,” said Carolina Milanesi, research director at Gartner. Gartner estimates that only 30 percent of the total number of mobile TV subscribers will ask for the service while 70 percent will receive it as part of their service bundle.

Table 1: Mobile TV Subscribers, Worldwide, 2006, 2007 and 2010 (Thousands)

� � 2006 � 2007 � 2010� �

Cellular Subscribers � 10,942.00 � 37,767.70 � 356,058.70� �

Broadcasting Subscribers � 5,972.50 � 21,872.30 � 132,692.80� �

Total Subscribers � 16,914.50 � 59,640.00 � 488,751.50 �

Note: As Multimedia Broadcast and Multicast Service (MBMS) is an extension of 3G technology, we have included MBMS subscribers under the cellular subscriber’s category rather than the broadcasting one.

Source: Gartner Dataquest (February 2007)

The bundling of Mobile TV services together with questionable early demand for premium content and advertising-funded free TV services will mean that in the short term at least, revenue from mobile TV will be depressed. In the long run however Gartner predicts that it still has the potential to be a major overall average per revenue per unit (ARPU) component. “We expect TV services over cellular to show revenue of just over $100 million in 2006, growing to $15 billion by 2010,” said Milanesi.� “Revenue from broadcast TV will grow from $200 million to 10.8 billion over the same period.”

Consequently, Gartner is advising operators to consider revenue models for mobile TV carefully. According to Milanesi, rather than competing on tariffs, they should instead focus on creating a unique ‘Mobile TV experience’ in order to attract an increasing number of subscribers. ”Driving mobile TV uptake in the next three years to grow the installed based of subscribers to a point where it starts to look interesting to advertisers will be key. Mobile tariffs are destined only to decrease in the future and advertising will play a pivotal role in operators’ revenue going forward,” said Milanesi. “The most successful operators where mobile TV is concerned will be those that treat it as a long-term opportunity, not a quick fix.”

Key Gartner recommendations to service providers:

* � � � � Mobile operators need to guarantee quality, variety and exclusivity to justify charging a premium for TV services and, in some cases, to justify charging for it at all.�

* � � � � Carriers should not count on advertising to subsidise TV services substantially in the next five years, as the subscriber base will remain limited. However, as this base grows and becomes more attractive to advertisers, carriers will need to experiment with advertising - offering an opt-in, opt-out option as the tolerance levels will vary. Operators should look to make mobile TV a unique ‘TV experience’, with mobile-specific or user-generated content from user communities, such as YouTube.



Link

Coming up...

This week, as promised, an investigation into revenue models and sponsorship deals for digital TV - how do they work and who benefits?



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Tuesday 3 April 2007

Is Google doing advertising evil with new model?


Was there ever a world without “do no evil” Google? Yes, just ten years ago!

Google has become an intrinsic part of the world’s culture and it is only eight years old. Despite its youth, Google has already engendered significant Googley lore: Everyone’s favorite garage band, Google-it!

Perhaps the most (in)famous Google saying: Do no evil!

Google has not only grown much richer in its short time at bat, it has targeted much more than Larry & Sergey’s founding search engine, as Google acknowledges:

Over time we've expanded our view of the range of services we can offer –- web search, for instance, isn't the only way for people to access or use information -– and products that then seemed unlikely are now key aspects of our portfolio. This doesn't mean we've changed our core mission; just that the farther we travel toward achieving it, the more those blurry objects on the horizon come into sharper focus (to be replaced, of course, by more blurry objects).

What about the core Google “do no evil” operating principle? Google’s “Our Philosophy” still proclaims “You can make money without doing evil” is one of the “Ten things Google has found to be true.”

Google has mastered the “making money” part, but what about the “do no evil” part?

Google on "making money without doing evil":

The revenue the company generates is derived from offering its search technology to companies and from the sale of advertising displayed on Google and on other sites across the web. Advertising on Google is always clearly identified as a "Sponsored Link." It is a core value for Google that there be no compromising of the integrity of our results…Our users trust Google's objectivity and no short-term gain could ever justify breaching that trust.

Google may soon be amending its making money without doing evil description. WHY? Google’s “new pricing model,” Pay Per Action (PPA) advertising:

Advertisers to pay only when specific actions that they define are completed by a user on their site. Rather than paying for clicks or impressions, advertisers can choose to pay when a user makes a purchase, signs up for a newsletter, or completes any other clearly defined action that they choose.

What about the user experience? Advertising on Google may “always be clearly identified as a "Sponsored Link." But what about the new Google Pay Per Action AdWords served to Google “content partners’ in the AdSense network?

Is Google’s “do no evil” logic getting fuzzy?

Sergey Brin and Lawrence Page, Google co-founders, warned of the potential for advertising evil in their Google prototype developed at Stanford University:

The predominant business model for commercial search engines is advertising. The goals of the advertising business model do not always correspond to providing quality search to users…we expect that advertising funded search engines will be inherently biased towards the advertisers and away from the needs of the consumers. Since it is very difficult even for experts to evaluate search engines, search engine bias is particularly insidious…advertising income often provides an incentive to provide poor quality search results…In general, it could be argued from the consumer point of view that the better the search engine is, the fewer advertisements will be needed for the consumer to find what they want. This of course erodes the advertising supported business model of the existing search engines.

Brin and Page declared their intent to take the “high road,” regarding search engine advertising:

We believe the issue of advertising causes enough mixed incentives that it is crucial to have a competitive search engine that is transparent and in the academic realm.

Brin, Page and the Google team apparently are less concerned today about maintaining transparency when they serve AdWords off of Google owned properties, to third-party sites in the Google AdSense network for example.

Last June, Google touted the new “flexibility” of a “Cost Per Action” product to "publishing partners":

We are giving you more flexibility in saying things like "I recommend this product" or "Try JetBlue today" next to the CPA ad unit. However, you should still not incite someone to click on the ad, so saying "Click Here" is not ok.

Now, Google is touting “embedded” referrals:

What is the text link format for pay-per-action ads?

Text links are hyperlinked brief text descriptions that take on the characteristics of a publisher's page. Publishers can place them in line with other text to better blend the ad and promote your product.

For example, you might see the following text link embedded in a publisher's recommendatory text: "Widgets are fun! I encourage all my friends to Buy a high-quality widget today." (Mousing over the link will display "Ads by Google" to identify these as pay-per-action ads)…just use your brand name to offer maximum flexibility to the publisher.

Google’s new PPA ad format, taking on the characteristics of a publisher’s page touting recommendatory text, is in stark contrast with Google’s existing AdSense prohibitions against “encouraging clicks”:

In order to ensure a good experience for users and advertisers, publishers may not request that users click the ads on their sites or rely on deceptive implementation methods to obtain clicks.

Publishers participating in the AdSense program

May not encourage users to click the Google ads by using phrases such as "click the ads," "support us," "visit these links," or other similar language,

May not direct user attention to the ads via arrows or other graphical gimmicks,

May not place misleading images alongside individual ads,

May not place misleading labels above Google ad units - for instance, ads may be labeled "Sponsored Links" but not "Favorite Sites"

NOW, with Google’s new PPA advertising model, Google is encouraging the “encouraging of clicks,” while keeping the “Ads by Google” disclaimer quietly (deceptively?) under users’ mice.

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Video Stream Yourself To The World Non-Stop: Justin.TV

An interesting article from our friends at Masternewmedia. Fair enough there is alot to crunch through here, but if you're interested in a discussion on online TV and finace then a good starting point is about a quarter of the way in...

"...As live Internet TV takes off, this could be an increasingly important mode of advertising - placing sponsored products in the hands of niche-broadcasters certainly feels like an effective way to go..."

Masternewmedia

The video blog has evolved significantly in the last year, propelling a new wave of web celebrities into the limelight - with such names as Amanda Congdon, Ze Frank and Loren Feldman carving out their own niches in the world of web 2.0 video.
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